Metodologija izračuna efektivnega tečaja v Sloveniji
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32015/JIBM.2020.12.2.1.3.20-37Ključne besede:
realni efektivni tečaj, nominalni efektivni tečaj, trgovinske uteži, potrošniške cene, cene proizvajalcev, stroški dela na enotoPovzetek
Prispevek določa izračun efektivnega tečaja za Slovenijo in ga primerja z metodologijami, ki jih uporabljajo MDS, BIS, Evropska komisija in ECB. Poleg tega oblikujemo manjše regionalne efektivne devizne tečaje, ki pomagajo razložiti stabilnost slovenskega izvoznega sektorja, zlasti v obdobju ohlajanja svetovnega gospodarstva v zadnjih letih. Rezultati kažejo, da lahko nekatere metodologije izračuna presežejo manj ugodno dinamiko konkurenčnosti. Pomembno je upoštevati te rezultate, saj bi različne metodologije lahko oblikovale različne politične zaključke glede konkurenčnosti slovenskega gospodarstva.
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